The Birth of Time: How Astronomers Measured the Age of the Universe by John Gribbin, Yale University Press, $24.95, 237 pages. Reviewed in the Raleigh News & Observer on May 14, 2000.



The News & Observer


May 14, 2000

Cosmic riddle: Can the child be older than its mother?


By Phillip Manning

Suppose you were born in 1940, and one day you came across your mother's birth certificate stating that she was born in 1942. A perplexing dilemma? You bet. That is precisely the situation cosmologists found themselves in a few years ago. New measurements from the Hubble Space Telescope, or HST, indicated that the universe was younger than the oldest stars.

The inconsistency was particularly galling because cosmology was in a golden age. In the span of one generation, astronomers had discovered that the universe was expanding; they had postulated the sweeping Big Bang theory of how it was formed; and they had discovered how stars and planets were born and died. The Hubble's new results appeared to cast doubt on those grand accomplishments. In "The Birth of Time," the prolific British science writer John Gribbin, who is also an astronomer, tells how cosmologists got the universe back in order.

The story is a complex one, and this otherwise well-crafted book suffers from a lack of technical precision, a growing but deplorable tendency in popular-science writing. Perhaps publishers are dumbing down their books to attract more readers. Whatever the reason, this book (and others of this genre) would be easier to follow if it included a few graphs or tables or even -- gasp! -- a simple equation or two. As our society becomes ever more dependent on science and technology, we need to learn their logic and language rather than shy away from them. Nevertheless, the book is a worthwhile read for anyone who wants to better understand the universe we inhabit.

People have long speculated about the age of the world, but the first man to actually calculate it was Archbishop James Ussher in 1620. He used all of the "begats" in the Bible to arrive at a date of creation of 4004 B.C. Over the years, this date got pushed back as scientists got into the act. What about fossils, they asked? Surely they took more than a few thousand years to form. Isaac Newton guessed that Earth was 50,000 years old; the French naturalist Comte de Buffon said 75,000; and in 1897 Lord Kelvin came up with the astounding figure of 24 million years. But these were estimates of the age of the Earth and the solar system -- not the universe, which was widely believed to be static and eternal.

Then, in 1929, the trail-blazing astronomer Edwin Hubble revolutionized our concept of the universe. Scientists had long known that as a source of light moves away from an observer, it becomes redder; the faster it is moving, the redder it appears -- this is known as the Doppler effect. Hubble discovered that the farther a star was from Earth, the greater its "red shift." Thus, more distant stars are receding faster. The only reasonable explanation for this was that space itself was expanding -- not just at the edges of the universe but everywhere. If gravitational effects are neglected, this means that every star is becoming more isolated from every other star as space is created between them, much as every point on the surface of a balloon becomes more isolated from every other point as it is inflated.

If the universe was expanding, scientists reasoned, the stars must have once been closer together. From the rate of expansion, they could determine when the Big Bang, the birth of time itself, occurred. By the 1950s, cosmologist estimated that the universe was 15 billion years old. This number was consistent with independent measurements of the age of the oldest stars, which were about the same age.

This cozy state of affairs was upset in 1994 when a team of American astronomers, using data from the recently repaired Hubble telescope (and making one assumption), calculated that the universe was actually between 8 and 12 billion years old. Articles in popular magazines dramatized the discrepancy, pointing out that the new data indicated that the universe was younger than the oldest stars. "Crisis in the Cosmos" blared one headline; "Don't look for a resolution to the age crisis tomorrow,"said another article. Both statements, it turns out, were wrong.

The HST team chose a single star of known luminosity among the billions of stars that comprise the M100 galaxy. That galaxy is part of the Virgo Cluster, which contains more than 1,000 galaxies and is 25 million light years across. By measuring that one star's brightness, they could calculate its distance from Earth. Then they used that figure to determine the Virgo Cluster's distance from Earth. Finally, the Virgo Cluster's brightness was used as a yardstick for measuring the distance to more remote clusters.

However, there is no way of knowing any single star's position within the massive Virgo Cluster. Members of the HST team made the logical assumption that their star had a better chance of being in the middle than anywhere else. "The Birth of Time" provides a detailed account of how this assumption was proved wrong.

A group of astronomers from Great Britain, including Gribbin, collected additional data and recalibrated the distance scale. Using the new scale, astronomers found that the universe was far older than the HST group's original estimate. This result could be consistent with the HST data only if M100 was on the near edge of the Virgo cluster -- not in its center.

Meanwhile, other astronomers were trying to confirm the age of the oldest stars. Using a European satellite, they made parallax measurements -- determining distance not by direct measurement but through geometric principles -- of a globular cluster in the Milky Way (our home galaxy). Within the globular clusters' millions of stars, astronomers believe, are the oldest stars in the universe. The parallax measurements revealed that the oldest stars were farther away than previously reported. This meant that the stars' intrinsic brightness must be greater than originally supposed. (Their apparent brightness, what we see here on Earth, was of course unchanged.) And because brighter stars burn fuel more rapidly, they must be younger than the earlier estimates. This finding reduced astronomers' reckoning of the age of the oldest stars.

Today, Gribbin reports, the universe is back in order. It is approximately 13 billion years old, and the oldest stars have been around for 11 billion years. The parent is again older than the child.

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